What Will Be The Future Of Solar Cost?

We all wish we had clairvoyance.  We could let that last paycheck ride on the next world-series game, knowing all the while which team will end up victorious.  We could wow our friends with our insider knowledge of whom the next president will be.  We could inform ourselves of when that impending car accident would be coming.  Well, fortunately, we have economists to help give up clairvoyance of the future of solar energy prices.    

How Does The Future Of The Solar Market Meet My Needs 

All of this thought leads us to an essential concept to consider, what will future prices be for solar and how will this relate to my needs? Any prediction here has to take at what it is, a prediction. Not reality. We know that history bloats with trends that pushed their limits and delayed. Learning measures are a savage way to display the complexities associated with reducing prices. Everything could differ considerably from this trendline.

With all of this held in our thoughts, we can see that if solar pricing endures, here’s what it points toward for future solar prices, without subsidies included. 

Geography Matters To Future Solar Prices

Through the lens of unsubsidized prices, geography has a lot to do with the outlook.  If we consider the ranging solar potentials in remarkably sunny areas to solar in more common locations in the US, China, India, and Southern Europe, we see notable differences

Solar Technological And Developmental Aspects Soar

If solar electricity continues its prevailing growth and development rate, by the time solar capacity triples to 600GW (approximately via 2020 or 2021), unsubsidized solar prices of roughly could be lead to 4.5 c / kWh for the extremely sunny places (generally equatorial locales), varying up to 6.5 c / kWh for moderately sun-kissed areas.  

A further look into the future where the time solar scale has doubled an additional four times, to the equivalent of 16% of world's current electricity demand, we should see solar at 3 cents per kWh in the sunniest areas, and 4.5 cents per kWh in moderately bright regions.
All of this culminates in a place where solar will cost less than half than new coal or natural gas electricity.  This data based projection isn't science fiction. IEA, in one of its summaries, projects 4 cents per kWh solar by 2050. 

A developer of materials, components, systems and processes of energy materials, Fraunhofer ISE, is predicting solar as cheap as 2 euro cents per kWh in the sunniest parts of Europe also by 2050.

Naturally, the world can change in numerous ways by the time we arrive in 2015.  However,  the perceived final thought is this: Electricity cost is now coupled to the ever-falling price of technology. This concept is profoundly deflationary. It’s incredibly disruptive to separate electricity-generating technologies and companies. However, this is excellent news for both humans, the planet, and the ecological state in total.

If you want to move into the future and join the solar revolution, or if you want to find out what solar panels are right for you, go to HahaSmart.com and try our price checker tool. You can see how much a system will cost, and how much you can save over the next 20 years. 

For more information relating to going solar, don't forget to visit our solar blog section for more handy guides and articles.